The Team

Bill Watkins

Bill Watkins

Bill Watkins

Executive Director

Bill Watkins, director of CERF, has been providing accurate, unflinching forecasts about the economic pulse of California, western states and the rest of the United States, for more than 15 years. He is a plain-spoken, no-holds-barred economist who studies the data and tells it like it is.

“Bill Watkins has the enviable ability to provide the simple-to-grasp explanations that are based on rigorous analysis of complex things. Sometimes it seems that we within the academy forget that our job is to make things easier to understand, not more difficult.”

Full bio…

Dan Hamilton

Dan Hamilton

Dan Hamilton

Dan Hamilton is what they call “a numbers guy.” Dan began working with Economic Forecast models in 1997 and has now created a forecast model that is the envy of the industry. He has done forecasting for groups as diverse as Vandenberg Air Force Base, the County of Santa Barbara, the California Environmental Protection Agency (via the city of Santa Maria), Santa Barbara Cottage Hospital, Shea Homes, the Towbes Group, the Ojai Sanitation District, and many others.

Full bio…

Kirk Lesh

Kirk Lesh

Kirk Lesh

Kirk M. Lesh looks forward to broadening his forecast work at CERF. He has built a solid reputation for unabashed honesty in predictions for the real estate sector. He has served as a consultant on several large, community oriented projects and is a frequent invited speaker at several events.

Full bio…