Optimism, Pessimism, and Reality

Last winter I gave a forecast to the agents of a commercial real estate company.  The forecast was necessarily negative, but it was well received by the agents.  The company’s president was another matter.  He was downright angry.  I wasn’t optimistic enough.  A very similar vignette played itself out when I gave a forecast . . . → Read More: Optimism, Pessimism, and Reality

Krugman, Mankiw, and the Problem with Zero

It’s not everyday that Greg Mankiw and Paul Krugman agree.  When they do, it’s worth thinking about.  Here are their blog posts: Krugman & Mankiw.

The topic is a Taylor Rule, which is a method, proposed John Taylor, for determining what Fed Policy should be.  That is, what is the interest rate that the . . . → Read More: Krugman, Mankiw, and the Problem with Zero

Twitter Updates for 2010-08-29

Princess just missed her first-ever soccer goal in her first-ever game. Good thing too. It was the wrong goal. #

Twitter Updates for 2010-08-28

Oregon, I hate to say I told you so, but I did, along with Eric Fruits: http://bit.ly/9wgQOM # Arnold draws a line in the sand: http://bit.ly/cJ6buH # Dan blogged on today's GDP release: http://bit.ly/bQN6f2 It may be worse than the spin. # Blogged on the book California Crack Up http://www.clucerf.org/blog/2010/08/27/california-crack-up/ It's a worthwhile . . . → Read More: Twitter Updates for 2010-08-28

Twitter Updates for 2010-08-27

A few weeks ago 473,000 new unemployment claims would have been bad news. Today, not. http://bit.ly/bA3zKU # California is unable to adapt to change. http://bit.ly/amyaPx So, it will fail. # Kling on GDP versus well being. http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2010/08/spending_vs_pss.html Well done. # Retail video rental, a business that came and went. http://bit.ly/b9B7tE . . . → Read More: Twitter Updates for 2010-08-27